June 29, 2020

The Escalating Crisis Over Iran's Nuclear Inspections

An IAEA resolution based on questionable Israeli intelligence has sparked a crisis with Iran that could spin out of control

by Scott Ritter

The current crisis over Iran's nuclear program was triggered by the IAEA Board of Governors, which on June 19 passed a resolution expressing its "serious concern" over Iran's refusal to provide "access to the Agency under the Additional Protocol to two locations." . . .

When the Trump administration, acting on President Trump's belief that the JCPOA was a "bad agreement," withdrew from the JCPOA and began re-imposing U.S. economic sanctions, which had been lifted under the terms of the deal, Iran indicated that it would reconsider its participation.

For the time being, Iran continued to abide by its obligations under the deal, accepting European Union and the other JCPOA nations' guarantees that regardless of what the U.S. did vis-a-vis sanctions, the other nations would not follow suit, and thereby fulfill their commitments to Iran under the terms of the JCPOA.

A year after the U.S. withdrawal from the deal, however, Europe collectively reneged on that commitment, succumbing to the threat of U.S. secondary sanctions, which threatened any European business that engaged in commerce with Iran.

In response, Iran invoked Articles 26 and 36 of the JCPOA. Article 26 holds that if new nuclear-related sanctions are imposed on Iran by any party to the deal it will constitute "grounds (for its authorities) to cease performing its commitments under this JCPOA in whole or in part." . . .


Non-Proliferation Treaty (July 1, 1968)
- Forbids the five member states with nuclear weapons from transferring them to any other state
- Forbids member states without nuclear weapons from developing or aquiring them
- Provides assurance through the application of international safeguards that peaceful nuclear energy in NNWS will not be diverted to nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices
- Facilitates access to peaceful uses of nuclear energy for all NNWS under international safeguards
- Commits all member states to pursue good faith negotiations toward ending the nuclear arms race and achieving nuclear disarmament.

Enver Masud, "U.S. Violating Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty," The Wisdom Fund, March 11, 2003

"U.N. Agency: 30 Countries Could Soon Have Nuclear Weapons," Fox News, October 16, 2006

Gordon Prather, "The U.S. Is Violating the NPT -- Not Iran,", September 26, 2009

Enver Masud, "Fact Check: IAEA Report on Iran's Nuclear Program," The Wisdom Fund, November 11, 2011

Seumas Milne, "War on Iran Has Already Begun," The Guardian, December 7, 2011

Kim Zetter, "NATO Researchers: STUXNET Attack on Iran Was Illegal 'Act of Force'," Wired, March 25, 2013

"Neocons, Netanyahu Pushing U.S. Into War With Iran, Russia," The Wisdom Fund, March 15, 2017

Ian Sample, "Treaty Banning Nuclear Weapons Approved at United Nations," The Guardian, July 7, 2017

As the U.S. accuses Iran of attacking civilian ships while offering scant evidence, grave historical parallels are emerging with the Gulf of Tonkin incidents in 1964 that were manipulated to justify Lyndon Johnson's dramatic escalation of the war in Vietnam.--Iran: "Gulf of Tonkin Redux," The Intercept, June 19, 2019

"Iran nuclear deal: UN rejects US bid to 'snapback' Iran sanctions,", August 26, 2020

Paul Brian and Arthur Bloom, "Another Opinion Columnist Pushing War With Iran Who Doesn't Actually Exist,", September 2, 2020

Joseph Trevithick, "New Low-Yield Nuclear Warheads That Biden Calls A "Bad Idea" Have All Been Delivered,", December 29, 2020

Jonathan Tennenbaum, "America on a new fast track to fusion energy,", January 18, 2021

[20 times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima . . . US Air Force plans to order more than 600 of them--Elisabeth Eaves, "Why is America getting a new $100 billion nuclear weapon?,", January 18, 2021]

[The TPNW is a significant milestone in the long and global effort to achieve a world free from nuclear weapons. The 86 countries that have signed so far are also signatories to the NPT - which also calls for nuclear disarmament - but signed on to the TPNW in apparent frustration over what they consider inadequate progress by the nuclear-armed states in fulfilling their NPT obligations.--Hans Kristensen and Matt Korda, "The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons Enters Into Force Today," Federation of American Scientists, January 22, 2021

"Israel begins major construction at its Dimona nuclear facility," TRT World, February 25, 2021

By the time Iran's nuclear scientists discovered that a computer worm was responsible for the destruction of their centrifuges, Stuxnet had already destroyed a fifth of Tehran's centrifuges and set Iran's nuclear ambitions back years.
Langner had made a name for himself with his analysis of the Stuxnet code -- and for having the chutzpah to be the first to call out the weapons' two architects: the United States and Israel. p16
-- Nicole Perlroth, "This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race," Bloomsbury Publishing; 1st edition (February 9, 2021)

China strikes massive deal with Iran as US conducts war games, RT Ameica, Marc h 30, 2021

Ex-MI6 Agent on Iran-China $400 Billion Deal, Israel vs Iran, Failed Regime Change in Syria, RT, April 14, 2021

How Israel Became a Nuclear State, TRT World, April 23, 2021

[It is not widely known that the CIA has an array of versatile offensive cybertools called Vault 7, one of which, "Marble Framework" enables the CIA to hack into computers and servers, disguise who hacked in, and attribute the hack to others.--Ray McGovern, "A Cyber-Culprit Other Than Russia?,", July 9, 2021]

Grant Smith, "Israel's Nukes Make US Aid Illegal,", August 24, 2021

[It then started to expand its nuclear program under a clause in the deal that allowed it to do so when other participants do not fulfill their promises--"Western Negotiators Fail To Recognize Iran's Position,", December 3, 2021]

"Nuclear Power in Iran,", August 2022

[Under Trump the U.S. had left the deal and had reissued sanctions against Iran.--"Death Of Nuclear Deal With Iran Adds To Biden's Failures In U.S. Foreign Policy,", December 20, 2022]

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